empty
21.12.2023 01:12 PM
Forecast for EUR/USD on December 21, 2021

The EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, consolidating below the corrective level of 61.8% (1.0960). Thus, the downward process may continue toward the next Fibonacci level of 50.0% (1.0862). I support the scenario of further decline in the pair, as, judging by the waves, the trend seems to be shifting towards the "bearish" side. However, a firm hold above the level of 1.0960 will indicate that bulls are not ready to retreat fully and may attempt to resume growth towards the level of 1.1035.

This image is no longer relevant

The wave situation is becoming clearer and more favorable. The last downward wave turned out to be relatively weak (compared to the previous upward wave), and the current upward wave has every chance of not surpassing the peak of the previous wave (from December 14). If this scenario unfolds, we will have the first sign of completing the "bullish" trend. In this case, a decline towards the level of 1.0862 should begin, which may only be the start of a prolonged "bearish" trend. This is the scenario I am currently counting on.

On Wednesday, there were a few interesting events in the European Union and the United States. The only U.S. report on the number of new home sales showed a value slightly higher than traders expected for November. However, this report is unimportant, and traders' reactions were practically nonexistent. Thus, this week, I can highlight only two events. The first one is the inflation report in the European Union, which showed a final decrease in November to 2.4% y/y, and the U.S. GDP report for the third quarter, which will be released today in the second half of the day.

As with European inflation, the report on economic growth in the U.S. may not cause a strong reaction. This is not the first estimate of the indicator for the third quarter, and traders are prepared to see +5.2% q/q. If today's report shows a higher or lower value, then bulls or bears will receive minor support. But overall, this week's information background is quite weak, with important reports coming only from the United Kingdom. By the end of the week, trader activity may be relatively low, but I still expect a decline in the pair toward the level of 1.0862. This target already looks quite attractive.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the pair rose to the corrective level of 50.0% (1.0957). A firm consolidation of the pair's rate above this level allows counting on further growth towards the next Fibonacci level of 38.2% at 1.1032. Reconsolidation below 1.0957 will again favor the U.S. currency and a fall to the lower line of the ascending trend corridor, which still characterizes traders' sentiment as "bullish." I expect a significant decline in the euro only after consolidating below the ascending trend corridor. Still, even under the current circumstances, a decline towards the lower line of the corridor looks promising. There are no apparent divergences with any indicator today.

Forecast for EUR/USD and trader advice:

What advice can be given to traders today? The rise of the European currency is unlikely. The continuation of the "bullish" trend is also unlikely. The information background could be stronger; the economic events calendar for the EU and the U.S. is practically empty, and traders will find it difficult to find new reasons for buying. Thus, a resumption of the decline towards the level of 1.0862 is likely. A consolidation below the level of 1.0960 can be considered for selling the pair. I consider purchases today impractical and too risky."

Samir Klishi,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposite US $ 3.000 em sua conta e receba $1000 mais!
    Em Abril nós sorteamos $1000 na campanha Chancy Deposit!
    Tenha a chance de ganhar, depositando $3,000 em sua conta de negociação. Após cumprir essa condição, você se torna um participante da campanha.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Previsão para o EUR/USD para 31 de março de 2025

Os participantes do mercado foram novamente tomados pelo medo devido à intenção de Washington de expandir as tarifas alfandegárias em 20% sobre praticamente todos os parceiros comerciais

Laurie Bailey 18:29 2025-03-31 UTC+2

EUR/USD e GBP/USD 31 de março - Análise técnica

Durante a semana, os players de baixa tentaram confirmar o recuo anterior e continuar o declínio, mas não tiveram sucesso, resultando em uma longa sombra inferior no candelabro semanal

Evangelos Poulakis 18:25 2025-03-31 UTC+2

EUR/USD. 31 de março. O dólar não tem chance

Na sexta-feira, o par EUR/USD se consolidou acima da zona de 1,0781-1,0797, permitindo que o movimento ascendente continuasse em direção ao nível de Fibonacci de 200,0% em 1,0857. Uma recuperação

Samir Klishi 18:17 2025-03-31 UTC+2

Previsão para o petróleo em 31 de março de 2025

O petróleo bruto (CL) permaneceu acima da linha verde descendente do canal de preços por apenas dois dias. Após uma queda de 84 centavos na sexta-feira, a cotação caiu abaixo

Laurie Bailey 17:16 2025-03-31 UTC+2

Previsão para o GBP/USD em 31 de março de 2025

No gráfico horário, o par GBP/USD foi negociado lateralmente na sexta-feira, mas duas recuperações do nível 1,2931 permitem algum crescimento potencial em direção ao nível corretivo Fibonacci 127,2% em 1,3003

Samir Klishi 15:00 2025-03-31 UTC+2

EUR/USD e GBP/USD 28 de março - Análise técnica

Com a semana chegando ao fim, o mercado segue indeciso, sem preferências claras. Ontem, os touros fizeram algum progresso, ajustando o sentimento de baixa predominante. Para confirmar e consolidar esse

Evangelos Poulakis 17:13 2025-03-28 UTC+2

GBP/USD. 28 de março. Resultados decepcionantes da economia britânica

No gráfico horário, o par GBP/USD se recuperou na quinta-feira do nível de 1,2865, invertendo a favor da libra e subindo acima de 1,2931, um nível sem grande relevância

Samir Klishi 17:01 2025-03-28 UTC+2

EUR/USD. 28 de março. Os ursos recuam, mas não se rendem

Na quinta-feira, o par EUR/USD se recuperou do nível de retração Fibonacci de 161,8% em 1,0734 e subiu para a zona de resistência de 1,0781-1,0797. Uma recuperação a partir dessa

Samir Klishi 16:06 2025-03-28 UTC+2

Sinais de negociação para o EUR/USD para 28-31 de março de 2025: venda abaixo de 1,0775 (SMA 21 - 6/8 de Murray)

No inicio da sessão americana, o euro era negociado a 1.0771,abaixo da SMA 21, e dentro do canal de tendência de baixa em formação desde 14 de março. A tendência

Dimitrios Zappas 15:38 2025-03-28 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.